KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 80%
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
14.0% / 19.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Dec 30, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year?
KalshiMarvel megamarket
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KalshiMarvel's Wolverine: Metacritic score
KalshiRules
If Jordan Peele is chosen to be the director of a Marvel Film the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Hollywood ReporterThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Jordan Peele must officially be announced as the director after Dec 30, 2025 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 1, 2027.
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
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- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film??
- Kalshi prices No at 80% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film? resolve?
- Will Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Jordan Peele direct a Marvel film? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Jordan Peele is chosen to be the director of a Marvel Film the market resolves to Yes.