KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 65%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$115.7
Liquidity
$9.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
35.0% / 70.0%
Spread
35.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Robert Downey Jr. appear in Avengers: Secret Wars?
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KalshiRules
If Robert Downey Jr. reprises his role as Iron Man in a Marvel feature film by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Variety
- Archival footage does not count.
Open markets
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- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
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+2 more outcomes
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KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
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- Total Vol
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year??
- Kalshi prices No at 65% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? resolve?
- Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Robert Downey Jr. reprises his role as Iron Man in a Marvel feature film by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.