KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Climate (99%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 1:48 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Climate
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityClimate 99%Leader of 17 outcomes
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$186.1K
Liquidity
$157.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 6:30 PMJul 28, 26, 1:15 AM
Probability Timeline
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Fraud17%
Climate99%
Zohran / Mamdani3%
Socialist / Socialism99%
Trump (8+ times)74%
Ballroom10%
Obama32%
AIPAC76%
ICE99%
Data Center99%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline64%
Corrupt / Corruption70%
Israel / Israeli0%
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement66%
Billionaire0%
Event does not qualify0%
1%
1%
99%
1%
99%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$186.1kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Michigan Democratic U.S.
- Senate debate originally scheduled for July 27th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Michigan Democratic U.S.
- Senate debate originally scheduled for July 27th, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.