KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: BTC (9%)
Resolved: Oct 27, 2026, 9:45 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
HYPELost
SOLLost
XRPLost
ETHLost
BTCWon
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiWhich cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
KalshiWill Ethereum exceed $5,000 before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030 will the most-used cryptocurrency have none of the highly criticised flaws of those popular in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill any cryptocurrency (other than Bitcoin) surpass the market cap of Ethereum in 2026?
FutuurWhich of bitcoin and Ethereum have the worst 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Bitcoin has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) from Oct 27 - 5:30AM EDT to 5:45AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independently over the given time period using the formula: Return = (Ending Price − Starting Price) / Starting Price × 100. The Starting Price and Ending Price are defined as the time-weighted average of the Spot Rate values published by CFBenchmarks during the 60-second intervals immediately preceding the start and end of the time period, respectively. Final returns are calculated on an identical basis for every cryptocurrency in the set and rounded to three decimal places (as a percentage). If two or more cryptocurrencies report an identical return (rounded to three decimal places) such that they are tied for the highest position, each tied cryptocurrency's Contract will resolve to "Yes" with a value equal to $1 divided by the number of cryptocurrencies tied for the highest position, rounded down to the nearest cent, and each remaining (non-tied) cryptocurrency's Contract will resolve to "No."
Rules for each outcome
- HYPE
- If Hyperliquid has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) from Oct 27 - 5:30AM EDT to 5:45AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SOL
- If Solana has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) from Oct 27 - 5:30AM EDT to 5:45AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- XRP
- If Ripple has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) from Oct 27 - 5:30AM EDT to 5:45AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ETH
- If Ethereum has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) from Oct 27 - 5:30AM EDT to 5:45AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BTC
- If Bitcoin has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) from Oct 27 - 5:30AM EDT to 5:45AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
