KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above $300 99%+13.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$745
Liquidity
$3.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jun 15, 26, 11:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the market price of Creed Aventus (3.3 oz EDP) on Jomashop is the named outcome in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Jomashop
- The market resolves based on the market price displayed on Jomashop, which may include discounts, promotions, or sale pricing.
- Prices are in USD, rounded to two decimal places, and exclude duties, taxes, and additional fees.
- If no data is available, the last known value will be used.
- If no prior value exists, all markets resolve to No. Revisions after initial publication will not affect resolution.
- Outcome verified from Jomashop.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.8pt97%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
- $119.1K
POLYMARKETVariational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $100M+0.1pt97%
- $200M+0.3pt94%
- $300M87%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAligned Layer FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $20M+1.1pt100%
- $50M+3.2pt100%
- $100M+10.1pt100%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of August?
- NVIDIA+0.1pt97%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt92%
- Company F50%
- Company G50%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETExtended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $150M+5.0pt78%
- $300M+6.0pt41%
- $500M+2.5pt18%
+4 more outcomes
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- 2nd Largest Company end of August?
- 3rd Largest Company end of August?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- 2nd Largest Company end of September?
- Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Creed Aventus: Price in 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above $300 at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Creed Aventus: Price in 2026 resolve?
- Creed Aventus: Price in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Creed Aventus: Price in 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the market price of Creed Aventus (3.3 oz EDP) on Jomashop is the named outcome in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.