KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Claude 40%+1.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Claude 40%+1.0ptMarket quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Open interest
$21K
Medium open interestSpread
41.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 5:30 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Claude is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:DeepSWE
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Claude
- If Claude is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gemini
- If Gemini is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ChatGPT
- If ChatGPT is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- DeepSeek
- If DeepSeek is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kimi
- If Kimi is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- GLM
- If GLM is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Grok
- If Grok is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MiMo
- If MiMo is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.