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Who will be the 2026 ATP Tour Year End #1 Tennis Player?

Sports Esports AI5mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 2:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3

Current community forecast

Jannik Sinner 95.4%

Leader of 10 outcomes

Forecasters

18

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale

Dec 7, 25, 8:46 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Jannik Sinner95%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Resolution criteria

The ATP Year-End No. 1 is determined as the player who ends the year as world No. 1 in the ATP rankings.
Rankings are calculated by totaling points from a player's best eighteen tournaments, including the four Grand Slams, eight mandatory ATP Masters tournaments, and the ATP Finals.
Resolution will be based on the official ATP rankings as published on the ATP Tour website (https://www.atptour.com/en/rankings/singles) following the conclusion of the 2026 ATP season.
Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz are the top contenders for the 2025 year-end No. 1 ranking.
The 2026 season will feature similar dynamics, with both players having established themselves as the dominant forces in men's tennis.

Volume trend

$102

Jul 182d of dataJul 19

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Rules

Resolution criteria

The ATP Year-End No. 1 is determined as the player who ends the year as world No. 1 in the ATP rankings.
Rankings are calculated by totaling points from a player's best eighteen tournaments, including the four Grand Slams, eight mandatory ATP Masters tournaments, and the ATP Finals.
Resolution will be based on the official ATP rankings as published on the ATP Tour website (https://www.atptour.com/en/rankings/singles) following the conclusion of the 2026 ATP season.
Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz are the top contenders for the 2025 year-end No. 1 ranking.
The 2026 season will feature similar dynamics, with both players having established themselves as the dominant forces in men's tennis.