Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAlexander Zverev 99%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+44.9 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 14, 25, 3:53 AM UTCNov 22, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- The ATP year-end No. 1 is determined as the player who ends the year as world No. 1 in the ATP rankings.
- Players start the year with zero points and accumulate points from tournament to tournament based on their performances, with the player who ends the season with the most points crowned as the year-end No. 1.
- Resolution will be based on the official ATP Rankings published at https://www.atptour.com/en/rankings/singles after the final ATP Tour event of 2026.
- the named outcome clinched the 2025 year-end No. 1 ranking after defeating the named outcome at the ATP Finals.
- The 2026 season will feature a competitive field with Alcaraz, the named outcome, and the named outcome as the top contenders.