KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityCut 25bps 72%+5.0%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$145.6
Liquidity
$12.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
72.0% / 73.0%
Spread
1.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 17, 26, 11:15 PMAug 5, 26, 9:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Cut 25bps72%
Compare venues· Cut 25bps
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMost active | 70% | — | $2.6K | $57.2K | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | 72% | — | $145.6 | $12.3K | 6 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Bank of Brazil decision in August?
2.5%26d
-2.5%70%
+1.3%29%
-0.5%2%
+2 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$111.1K
24h Vol$2.6K
POLYMARKETRules
If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of Cut more than 50bp at August Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$146Jul 27d of dataJul 8
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of Cut more than 50bp at August Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).