PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo change 99%+0.2%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$105
Liquidity
$15.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
98.0% / 99.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spread7d Change
+1.1%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Apr 30, 26, 6:29 PMJul 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
No change99%
Compare venues· No change
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 99% | — | $105 | $15.1K | 10 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active88% match · auto | Medium | 99% | — | $4.1K | $43K | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Bank of England rate decision in July
1.0%3d
+2.0%99%
+1.0%7%
+1.0%2%
+2 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$68.5K
24h Vol$4.1K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for July 30, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.4k98.0%KALSHIMaintain current rate — Yes17d ago
KALSHIMaintain current rate — Yes17d agoVolume trend
$105Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for July 30, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).