KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMaintain current rate 67%-2.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$956.9
Liquidity
$6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
67.0% / 69.0%
Spread
3.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jun 5, 26, 3:30 PMAug 5, 26, 4:29 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Maintain current rate67%
Compare venues· Maintain current rate
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall89% match · auto | High | 67% | — | $1.2K | $6.7K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | High | 67% | — | $956.9 | $6K | 16 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Reserve Bank of India decision in August
1.5%9d
-1.5%67%
-0.5%24%
+3.5%11%
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.8K
24h Vol$1.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at August Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$957Jul 315d of dataJul 26
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If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at August Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).