KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Trump (3+ times) (99%)
Resolved: Sep 15, 2026, 1:54 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Trump (3+ times)
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 15, 2026, 1:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Corrupt / Corruption1%
Trump (3+ times)30%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Data Center1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Bubble1%
Electricity / Utility Bill1%
Regulate / Regulation99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability99%
Billionaire99%
OpenAI / Anthropic1%
Healthcare1%
Inflation1%
Elon / Musk1%
Event does not qualify11%
Trump (3+ times)Won
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
Regulate / RegulationLost
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityLost
BillionaireLost
Corrupt / CorruptionLost
Data CenterLost
Oil / Gas / GasolineLost
BubbleLost
Electricity / Utility BillLost
OpenAI / AnthropicLost
HealthcareLost
InflationLost
Elon / MuskLost
Event does not qualifyLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes on September 14, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MS NOW: All In with Chris Hayes on September 14, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Elizabeth Warren speaking in an official capacity.