KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 87%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0.4
Liquidity
$180.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
84.0% / 87.0%
Spread
3.6%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Apr 22, 26, 12:30 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes87%
Also available on Polymarket
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?
0.5%6mo
+0.5%90%
+7.5%59%
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$73.7K
24h Vol$1.4K
POLYMARKETRules
If SpaceX announces an agreement to acquire Cursor before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement.
- Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify.
- The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced.
- Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution.
- Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If SpaceX announces an agreement to acquire Cursor before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement.
- Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify.
- The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced.
- Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution.
- Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced.