PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 90%+0.5%
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$14.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
89.0% / 91.0%
Spread
2.3%
Tight spread7d Change
+6.0%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Apr 22, 26, 12:07 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
December 3190%
Also available on Kalshi
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor this year?
6mo
87%
13%
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$314
24h Vol$0.4
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify.
- An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
- Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company.
- A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify.
- An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
- Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company.
- A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights).