KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 4.1450 (99%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 11:06 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 5:16 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 4.09000%
Above 4.14500%
Above 4.13500%
Above 4.080098%
Above 4.08500%
Above 4.14000%
Above 4.10000%
Above 4.075099%
Above 4.15000%
Above 4.09500%
Above 4.13000%
Above 4.10500%
Above 4.11000%
Above 4.11500%
Above 4.12000%
Above 4.12500%
Above 4.15500%
Above 4.185014%
Above 4.170034%
Above 4.17503%
Above 4.190024%
Above 4.1450Won
Above 4.1350Lost
Above 4.0800Lost
Above 4.0850Lost
Above 4.1400Lost
Above 4.1000Lost
Above 4.0750Lost
Above 4.0950Lost
Above 4.1300Lost
Above 4.1050Lost
Above 4.1100Lost
Above 4.1150Lost
Above 4.1200Lost
Above 4.1250Lost
Above 4.0900Lost
Above 4.1500Lost
Above 4.1550Lost
Above 4.1700Lost
Above 4.1650Lost
Above 4.1900Lost
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If average regular gas prices for North Carolina are strictly greater than $4.0750 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for North Carolina are strictly greater than $4.0800 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for North Carolina are strictly greater than $4.0850 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for North Carolina are strictly greater than $4.0900 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for North Carolina are strictly greater than $4.0950 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for North Carolina are strictly greater than $4.1000 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.