KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 4.4250 (99%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 11:06 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 5:16 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 4.405064%
Above 4.400098%
Above 4.325099%
Above 4.395098%
Above 4.35500%
Above 4.370097%
Above 4.380095%
Above 4.375098%
Above 4.385069%
Above 4.390068%
Above 4.335099%
Above 4.330099%
Above 4.36000%
Above 4.35000%
Above 4.345099%
Above 4.340099%
Above 4.365099%
Above 4.435081%
Above 4.440022%
Above 4.44509%
Above 4.430089%
Above 4.425096%
Above 4.410097%
Above 4.450012%
Above 4.4250Won
Above 4.3250Lost
Above 4.4100Lost
Above 4.3950Lost
Above 4.3550Lost
Above 4.3700Lost
Above 4.3800Lost
Above 4.3750Lost
Above 4.3850Lost
Above 4.3900Lost
Above 4.3350Lost
Above 4.3300Lost
Above 4.3600Lost
Above 4.3500Lost
Above 4.3450Lost
Above 4.3400Lost
Above 4.3650Lost
Above 4.4050Lost
Above 4.4150Lost
Above 4.4000Lost
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.3250 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.3300 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.3350 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.3400 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.3450 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.3500 on Sep 17, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.