GeminiVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31, 2026 86%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 33 minutes ago
Mar 3, 26, 5:11 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 PM
86%
Mock trading isn't available for this market.
Compare venues· December 31, 2026
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FutuurBest overall88% match · auto | Low | 80% | 0pt | $0 | $4.8K | 33 minutes ago | Open → |
| GeminiThis page | Low | 86% | +6pt | $0 | $0 | 33 minutes ago |
Also available on Futuur
GPT-6 released by ?
5mo
80%
68%
1%
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$989.9
24h Vol$0
FUTUURRules
GPT-6 released by...?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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GPT-6 released by...?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.