Catalyst
World Cup Winner
These linked markets share the same catalyst family or an approved cross-source match.
July 14, 2026 at 3:59 AM
8 linked markets
Strongest gap: 143pt
FIFA World Cup8 linked markets3 sourcesCompare-ready
LIMITLESS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
POLYMARKETWhy these markets are linked
Approved cross-source matches + Same-day title family
Approved cross-source matches
7 approved pairs
7 linked markets already have an approved cross-source match inside this catalyst.
Same-day title family
2 same-day family markets
These markets share the same normalized title family on the same catalyst day, which is why they appear together as one upcoming event.
Source structure
3 sources
This catalyst spans multiple prediction platforms, so compare value is available directly inside the catalyst workflow.
Cross-source alignment
When approved matches exist, this catalyst surfaces the strongest agreement and disagreement signals directly on the page.
Manifold Markets / Limitless
143pt overall gap
Largest differing outcome
Belgium
Higher probability source
Limitless
Manifold Markets / Limitless
140pt overall gap
Largest differing outcome
Belgium
Higher probability source
Limitless
Manifold Markets / Polymarket
41pt overall gap
Largest differing outcome
Argentina
Higher probability source
Polymarket
Manifold Markets
40pt overall gap
Largest differing outcome
Spain
Higher probability source
Manifold Markets
Manifold Markets
31pt overall gap
Largest differing outcome
Spain
Higher probability source
Manifold Markets
Catalyst schedule
Use the close schedule to understand how this catalyst unfolds across linked markets.
MANIFOLD MARKETSMarket closeWorld Cup Winner
July 14, 2026 at 3:59 AM
MANIFOLD MARKETSMarket closeWho will win the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup?
July 19, 2026 at 1:59 PM
MANIFOLD MARKETSMarket closeWhich country will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
July 19, 2026 at 10:59 PM
MANIFOLD MARKETSMarket closeWhich team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
July 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM
MANIFOLD MARKETSMarket closeWhich team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
July 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM
POLYMARKETMarket closeWorld Cup Winner
July 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM
MANIFOLD MARKETSMarket close2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner
July 20, 2026 at 3:59 AM
LIMITLESSMarket closeWorld Cup Winner
October 14, 2026 at 3:59 AM
Linked markets by source
Review the linked markets grouped by source instead of as one flat list.
LIMITLESS1 markets
MANIFOLD MARKETS6 markets
World Cup Winner
6d
3%
7%
22%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast11 forecastersType: multiple choice41pt disagreement
Total Vol$1.7K
24h Vol$14.4
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will win the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup?
11d
-0.1%8.4%
-0.1%9.8%
+6.5%32.5%
+14 more outcomes
Community forecast58 forecastersType: multiple choice40pt disagreement
Total Vol$13.6K
24h Vol$291.5
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12d
-2.3%18.2%
-1.4%6.1%
+7.0%32.7%
+38 more outcomes
Community forecast98 forecastersType: multiple choice140pt disagreement
Total Vol$67.6K
24h Vol$1.2K
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12d
1%
+1.0%3%
+0.6%2.9%
+45 more outcomes
Community forecast121 forecastersType: multiple choice143pt disagreement
Total Vol$68.6K
24h Vol$814.6
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12d
+0.7%10.6%
+7.0%33%
+0.1%8.8%
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast19 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1.7K
24h Vol$330.1
MANIFOLD MARKETS2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner
12d
+1.3%7.1%
+6.0%32.9%
-0.2%8.9%
+47 more outcomes
Community forecast467 forecastersType: multiple choice31pt disagreement
Total Vol$452.3K
24h Vol$69.7K
MANIFOLD MARKETSPOLYMARKET1 markets
