Will Jerome Powell leave the Fed Board before July?

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change86.1%
• 25 bps increase13.9%
• 25 bps decrease0%

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Gesamtvolumen

47,4 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

2,3 Mio. €

KALSHI

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

• Fed maintains rate87.5%
• Hike 25bps12.5%
• Cut 25bps0.5%

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt99%
• 1 (25 bps)+0.4pt1%
• 10 (250 bps)0%

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase76.5%
• No change19.6%
• 50+ bps increase-0.2pt2.9%

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Gesamtvolumen

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed rate decision in October 2026

• Fed maintains rate+2.0pt84.7%
• Hike 25bps-3.0pt11.5%
• Cut 25bps1.9%

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Gesamtvolumen

63.613,3 €

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in January?

• No change+3.0pt59.8%
• 25 bps increase-1.0pt37.3%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%

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