PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
March 31 16%-8.0ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
March 31 16%-8.0ptMarktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2320,1 €
Liquidität
28.080,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
8
7d-Änderung
+6.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
9. Juli 26, 13:43 UTC1. Apr. 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
July 31Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
Manifold MarketsNext President of the National Rally in 2026?
PolymarketLe Pen names non-Bardella PM by which date?
PolymarketReform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?
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PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent.
- An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally.
