Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Jordan Bardella 86.7%-2.8ptFührend unter 8 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Jordan Bardella 86.7%-2.8ptMarktqualitat
78 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
4693,5 €
Liquidität
236.071,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.1 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-4.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
8. Juli 26, 23:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by which date?
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The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress.
- If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
