Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
April 17, 2027 21%
April 17, 2027 21%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
205,4 €
Liquidität
1516,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 22.0%
Spread
10.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
6
7d-Änderung
+7.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
9. Juli 26, 13:39 UTC17. Apr. 27, 21:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
On July 7, 2026, Marine Le Pen announced she is running in the 2027 French presidential election and has named Jordan Bardella as her intended Prime Minister.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.politico.eu/article/france-marine-le-pen-jordan-bardella-2027-campaign/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen publicly names someone other than Jordan Bardella as the person she would appoint or support as Prime Minister if elected President by the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying endorsement must be a public statement naming a preferred Prime Minister other than Jordan Bardella if Le Pen is elected President.
- Withdrawing support from Bardella alone will not qualify unless Le Pen also names another person for Prime Minister.
