PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 74.3%-1.0pt
Marktqualitat
65 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
165,4 €
Liquidität
3944,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
3
7d-Änderung
-10.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
28. Apr. 26, 17:15 UTC31. Dez. 26, 19:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsWill any country leave NATO in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
3 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 26%. Die Kurse liegen rund 2 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz 26% · 3 Plattformen · 2 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
Offene Märkte
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
- Above $94.99+11.0pt99%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 441.426,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 377.294,9 €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIGold 15 min · $4,364.81 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 160.983,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.109,4 €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.410099%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 100.693,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.676,2 €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt22%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt21%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt19%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- Brent crude oil price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices this week
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 74% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? entschieden?
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- Wo wird Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Futuur, Limitless, Kalshi gelistet.