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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Commodities
  3. Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

CommoditiesOne-OffGeopolitik6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 26%
Marktqualitat

60 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

47,6 €

Liquidität

11.322,4 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

25.0% / 26.0%

Spread

4.0%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

28. Apr. 26, 17:2031. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes26%

KalshiAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

1.0%6Mon
Ja
Ja
+1.0%31%
Nein
Nein
69%
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen117 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regeln

On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.

Polymarket
  • You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
  • Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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Regeln

On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.

Polymarket
  • You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
  • Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.