PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 11%+0.0%
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
32,4 €
Liquidität
9384,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 12.0%
Spread
20.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+1.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
28. Apr. 26, 17:1531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes11%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 89% | +78pt | 32,4 € | 9384,1 € | vor 16 Minuten | |
 Kalshi65% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 86% | +75pt | 12 € | 5589,6 € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Futuur100% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 73% | +62pt | 0 € | 1257,9 € | vor 1 Minute | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Futuur
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
5Mon
73%
27%
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen1,3 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FUTUURAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
5Mon
86%
14%
44 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen15.391,5 €
24h-Volumen12 €
KALSHIRegeln
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$375. Juli20T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
110.558,9 €December 31: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
23.615,5 €December 31: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
20.726,8 €December 31: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
19.464,5 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 20%KALSHI
KALSHI
April 8, US-IRAN war ceasefire: prop bets
43,9 €It lasts for exactly 2 weeks: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
0 €Ja: 5%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTITIn diesen Themen aktiv
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On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
- Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.