FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 85%
Nein 85%Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1284,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
5
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
PredictItWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This event predicts whether any member country will formally announce its withdrawal from the OPEC or OPEC+ alliance by December 31, 2026 (inclusive), after the United Arab Emirates’ exit from this group.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or statements by the withdrawing country or by OPEC confirming a member’s departure.
- If any country officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC or OPEC+ during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary non-compliance with production quotas, disputes, or informal statements will not count as a departure.
- If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
4 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die plattformübergreifende Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 6%. Die Spanne zwischen den Plattformen beträgt rund 9 Prozentpunkte.
CoinRithm-Referenz 6% · 4 Plattformen · 9 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
