KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 76%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3715,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
24.0% / 28.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
28. Apr. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Venezuela exit OPEC?
KalshiOPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Washington PostDeutsche WelleFinancial TimesFrance 24 EnglishThe GuardianNBC NewsThe Times of IndiaFox NewsCBS NewsABC NewsThe Wall Street JournalNHK World-JapanCNNThe New York TimesBBC NewsThe Globe and MailAl Jazeera Englishthe Associated PressReutersThe South China Morning PostPoliticoChannel NewsAsiaBloomberg News
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
3 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 26%. Die Kurse liegen rund 2 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz 26% · 3 Plattformen · 2 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
Offene Märkte
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
- Above $94.99+11.0pt99%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 441.426,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 377.294,9 €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIGold 15 min · $4,364.81 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 160.983,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.109,4 €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.410099%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 100.693,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.676,2 €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt22%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt21%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt19%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- Brent crude oil price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices this week
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 76% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? entschieden?
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Futuur, Limitless, Polymarket gelistet.