KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 14%
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
12 €
Liquidität
5589,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
13.0% / 16.0%
Spread
23.1%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
28. Apr. 26, 15:001. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes14%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt65% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 89% | +78pt | 32,4 € | 10.119,6 € | vor 7 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 86% | +75pt | 12 € | 5589,7 € | vor 27 Minuten | |
 Futuur90% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 73% | +62pt | 0 € | 1258 € | vor 1 Minute | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Futuur
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
5Mon
73%
27%
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen1,3 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FUTUURAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
0.5%5Mon
89%
+0.0%11%
44 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen139.124,9 €
24h-Volumen32,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$142. Juli21T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
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If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments