PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNone before 2027 47%+0.3ptFührend unter 29 Optionen
Marktqualitat
65 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
43,2 €
Liquidität
104.184,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.1% / 0.2%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
22. Mai 26, 19:1131. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
None before 202747%
Plattformen vergleichen· Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt80% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 30% | 0pt | 2144,7 € | 54.433,7 € | vor 24 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| PolymarketDiese Seite | Mittel | 34% | +4pt | 43,2 € | 104.184,2 € | vor 4 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
1.0 pts2J
+4.0pt30%
-1.0pt14%
11%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
67 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen89.083,1 €
24h-Volumen2144,7 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$492. Juli27T Daten28. Juli
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This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).