KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 2027 68%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
51 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
230,1 €
Liquidität
6726,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
22. Mai 26, 18:00 UTC2. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsNext Cabinet Official To Leave In 2026
SmarketsWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PolymarketWho will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
KalshiWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketRegeln
If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Any action related to Tulsi Gabbard will not qualify.
- The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies.
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
- Acting roles are not included.
- Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 2027 mit 68% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? entschieden?
- When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? soll am 2. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.