Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 17:13 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 53.3%
Nein 53.3%Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert11. Nov. 24, 22:32 UTC21. Jan. 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Lee Zeldin serve for Trump’s entire term?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
KalshiWhen will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
KalshiWill any member of Trump's cabinet be convicted of a war crime by end 2040?
Manifold MarketsAnnouncement that Pam bondi is out and Lee zeldin in by eoy 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US attack a NATO member, and will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Lee Zeldin has been picked to lead the EPA
- https://x.com/LeeMZeldin/status/1856068555865026956
- If he’s still in office by the end of Trump’s term (including cases where Trump dies or leaves office early), this resolved Yes.
- If he is never officially appointed once Trump takes office, it resolves n/a.
- If he leaves because he dies or becomes sick, it resolves n/a.
- If he leaves because he voluntarily quits for reasons unrelated to health, it resolves No.
