PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Hike 82%
Marktqualitat
54 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
19,4 €
Liquidität
2381 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
80.0% / 84.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
14. Juli 26, 16:22 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will avg rate of change of US debt(as % of current debt)have higher YoY increase during Trump's presidency than Biden's?
Manifold MarketsPeople's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
PolymarketFed rate decision in September 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
PolymarketFed rate cut before 2027?
KalshiNext Fed rate hike?
KalshiRegeln
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
- Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify.
Offene Märkte
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be the next Fed rate change??
- Polymarket bewertet Hike mit 82% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be the next Fed rate change? entschieden?
- What will be the next Fed rate change? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be the next Fed rate change? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.