Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed rate decision in October 2026

• Fed maintains rate+2.0pt90.8%
• Hike 25bps-1.0pt5.3%
• Cut 25bps-1.0pt1.9%

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Gesamtvolumen

38.067,6 €

24h-Volumen

4,9 Mio. €

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change94.1%
• 25 bps increase5.9%
• 25 bps decrease0%

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Gesamtvolumen

57,4 Mio. €

KALSHI

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

• Fed maintains rate93.5%
• Hike 25bps-1.0pt5.5%
• Hike >25bps0.5%

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase+2.0pt74.8%
• No change20.4%
• 50+ bps increase-0.4pt2.9%

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KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

• Exactly 0 cuts+0.3pt94.3%
• Exactly 6 cuts+3.5pt0.2%
• Exactly 1 cut

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike-2.0pt73.7%
• Hike–Pause–Pause21.2%
• Hike–Hike–Hike-0.6pt2%

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