PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Entschieden: 09.09.2026, 14:37
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 10.09.2026, 07:25 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Trends
August 31Ergebnis ausstehend
August 15Ergebnis ausstehend
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the named outcome, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.