Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 52%-16.5pt
Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4,3 €
Liquidität
1746,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
20.0% / 84.0%
Spread
64.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-17.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
10. Juni 26, 15:10 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PolymarketWill China launch and operate a fully reusable spacecraft by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship 14th launch?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketWhen will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
KalshiRegeln
On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025.
- You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+19.0pt57%
- 180-199-5.5pt35%
- 200-219-6.8pt5%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 319.926 €
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+7.0pt68.3%
- Before March 2027-3.0pt19.2%
- Before February 2027+2.0pt8.3%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.6%
- Yes49.4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 217.232,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 215.185,8 €
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- Meta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028??
- Polymarket bewertet Yes mit 52% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? entschieden?
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025.