KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Dec 11, 2026 95%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Before Dec 11, 2026 95%Marktqualitat
58 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2009,1 €
Open Interest
24.120,2 €
Hohes Open InterestSpread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
29. Sept. 26, 15:30 UTC30. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 1h (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiWhen will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PolymarketStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsReal banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:SpaceX
- For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Dec 11, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Dec 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 27, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 13, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 30, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 16, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Before Dec 11, 2026 liegt bei 95%. Die Spanne zwischen den Plattformen beträgt rund 1 Prozentpunkt.
CoinRithm-Referenz Before Dec 11, 2026 95% · 2 Plattformen · 1 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — SpaceX Starship 15th launch? · Before Dec 11, 2026 94%