Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2 5%+1.0%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
861,9 €
Liquidität
14.104,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.0% / 8.0%
Spread
166.7%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
27. Mai 26, 0:301. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
25%
Plattformen vergleichen· 5-6
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 51% | -16pt | 861,9 € | 14.104,2 € | vor 24 Minuten | |
 Polymarket90% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 67% | 0pt | 745,4 € | 16.070 € | vor 4 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Kalshi80% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 88% | +21pt | 0 € | 2311,9 € | vor 24 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Limitless90% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 67% | 0pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 24 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 89% | +22pt | — | — | vor 24 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
7.5%5Mon
+7.5%67%
-5.5%19%
-0.6%11%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
52 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen430.357,3 €
24h-Volumen745,4 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Limitless
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5Mon
66.5%
19.3%
11.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen21,6 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
5Mon
-1.8%89.2%
-1.9%60.9%
+1.5%27%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose60 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5Mon
88%
71%
38%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen2940,4 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
- Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
- (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
- If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$9802. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Will SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026?
95 €Ja: 28.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBy which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
26,4 €4 (all flight #s are on or before): 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Elon Bull Run Parlay
0 €Ja: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
AI data center in space by which date?
0 €2027: 25%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
10.719,3 €Ja: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
- Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
- (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
- If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.