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  3. How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

5.0% (24h)TechnikSpaceYearly6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2
2 2%-5.0%
Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0,4 €

Liquidität

26,7 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

2.0% / 7.0%

Spread

250.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

27. Mai 26, 0:301. Jan. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

22%

PolymarketAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

1.1%6Mon
<5
<5
-4.5%52%
5-6
5-6
-1.5%26%
7-8
7-8
+4.3%10%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

64 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen402.659,6 €
24h-Volumen310,7 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regeln

If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
  • Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
  • (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
  • If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

Verwandte Märkte

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AI data center in space by...?

1463,3 €
2027: 18%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will SpaceX (SPCX) closing price on its first trading day be greater than $135?

655,8 €
Ja: 68.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?

433,1 €
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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

6,9 €
Ja: 31%KalshiKALSHI
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

6,7 €
Ja: 32%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,679.67+2.61%SolanaSOL$65.15+1.87%EthereumETH$1,652.39+2.20%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+2.06%BNBBNB$594.69+1.85%XRPXRP$1.12+0.57%

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Regeln

If below 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.
  • Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times.
  • (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).
  • If exactly 2 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If exactly 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.