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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
Manifold Markets

By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?

TechnikYearlySpace6Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
4 (all flight #s are on or before) 0%
Führend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker

65

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

22. März 24, 17:571. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Manifold Markets
4 (all flight #s are on or before)
0%
Manifold Markets
5
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

121%

Regeln

An orbit around earth is defined as having a perigee above 100 km.

Manifold Markets
  • All past flights have targeted perigees with negative values (inside the surface of the earth).
  • So when do you think Starship will have a perigee above 100km?
  • This obviously assumes Starship is in one piece and flying nominally when it reaches this orbit.
  • If a piece of debris once belonging to Starship happens to reach orbit it will not count (resolve NO).
  • Starship must actually fly to orbit if it is targeted so if orbit is not reached in flight this market resolves NO.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,475.42+0.00%SolanaSOL$66.59-0.36%EthereumETH$1,663.77-0.72%DogecoinDOGE$0.0868+0.58%BNBBNB$603.45+0.05%XRPXRP$1.13-0.81%

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Regeln

An orbit around earth is defined as having a perigee above 100 km.

Manifold Markets
  • All past flights have targeted perigees with negative values (inside the surface of the earth).
  • So when do you think Starship will have a perigee above 100km?
  • This obviously assumes Starship is in one piece and flying nominally when it reaches this orbit.
  • If a piece of debris once belonging to Starship happens to reach orbit it will not count (resolve NO).
  • Starship must actually fly to orbit if it is targeted so if orbit is not reached in flight this market resolves NO.