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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? (No) → SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
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PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
Manifold MarketsHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRegeln
This market predicts whether SpaceX will successfully demonstrate in-orbit refueling of a Starship vehicle during calendar year 2026.
- If, during this period, SpaceX successfully transfers at least 1 metric ton of propellant from one Starship vehicle to another Starship vehicle while both are in Earth orbit, and the transfer is publicly confirmed by SpaceX as a successful propellant transfer, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The Primary Designated Source is SpaceX's official communications (spacex.com, X account @SpaceX, official mission webcasts), supported by NASA and FAA mission reports where applicable.
- A consensus of credible reporting by reliable news outlets chosen at Futuur’s discretion may be used to confirm the demonstration.
- In ambiguous edge cases, resolution will follow the spirit of the question.