Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
5-6 67%+7.5%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
745,3 €
Liquidität
16.254,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
63.0% / 70.0%
Spread
11.1%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+10.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
12. Dez. 25, 0:4531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
5-667%
Plattformen vergleichen· 5-6
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt90% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 51% | -15pt | 861,9 € | 14.103,9 € | vor 8 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 PolymarketDiese Seite | Mittel | 67% | +1pt | 745,3 € | 16.254,5 € | vor 8 Minuten | |
| Kalshi80% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 88% | +22pt | 0 € | 2311,9 € | vor 8 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Limitless94% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 66% | +0pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 28 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 89% | +23pt | — | — | vor 28 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Limitless
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5Mon
66.3%
19.3%
11.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen21,6 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
1.0%5Mon
51%
18%
+2.0%16%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
52 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen22.417,7 €
24h-Volumen861,9 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
5Mon
-1.8%89.2%
-1.9%60.9%
+1.5%27%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose60 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5Mon
88%
71%
38%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen2940,4 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$8482. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
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KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
1567,9 €Ja: 31%KALSHI
KALSHIWill SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026?
95 €Ja: 28.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBy which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
26,4 €4 (all flight #s are on or before): 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
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POLYMARKET
AI data center in space by which date?
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POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.