PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit<5 52%-4.5%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
310,7 €
Liquidität
35.420,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.7% / 7.1%
Spread
91.9%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+0.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
12. Dez. 25, 0:4531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
<552%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5.0%6Mon
-5.0%2%
-4.0%1%
2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen47,9 €
24h-Volumen0,4 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.