Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
5-6 50%Führend unter 8 Optionen
5-6 50%Marktqualitat
22 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
26. Juni 26, 09:45 UTC31. Dez. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship 15th launch?
KalshiWhen will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
KalshiRegeln
5-6 · 16 · 13-14 · 15-16 · 11-12.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
