Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose40-49.99999 days 29.7%Führend unter 17 Optionen
Prognostiker
18
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet16. Feb. 26, 05:24 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
LimitlessHow many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Shortest gap between any two launches - does NOT need to be same ship or booster.
- Short gaps in 2025 included January 16th to March 6th flights 7 and 8 with 49 day gap August 27th to October 14th flights 10 and 11 with 48 day gap
- If version 3 works well, manufacturing might speed up considerably and there might be reuse and even refuelling attempts but it isn't clear how fast pad 2 can be turned around if the ships and boosters are available.
- If it doesn't work well like version 2, then long delays are possible.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 802.561,8 €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 736.478,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 585.562,7 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Stortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026?
- Manifold Markets bewertet 40-49.99999 days mit 30% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Stortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026 entschieden?
- Stortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026 soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Stortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Shortest gap between any two launches - does NOT need to be same ship or booster.