Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
No release by September 30 69.9%+19.5ptFührend unter 31 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
11.760,2 €
Liquidität
125.139,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+10.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
17. Aug. 26, 23:31 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PolymarketNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiWill Google Gemini hack a company during testing before Gemini 3.5 Pro/Gemini 4 Pro gets released?
Manifold MarketsNext Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by which date?
PolymarketGemini 3.5 Pro METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.