PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertVom Anbieter Markt für Markt abgerechnet
Entschieden: 22.10.2026, 00:03
Dieses Ereignis hat keinen einzelnen Gewinner. Der Anbieter hat jeden Markt einzeln abgerechnet; jeder Markt zeigt sein eigenes Ergebnis.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 21.10.2026, 23:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
October 21 100%+25.1ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
October 21 100%+25.1ptMarktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
20.345,4 €
Liquidität
55.549,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätOpen Interest
18.898,2 $
Spread
0.7 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
20
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert20. Okt. 26, 00:40 UTC31. Okt. 26, 22:59 UTC
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
October 21100%
October 2497%
October 3193%
October 21100%
October 24100%
October 31100%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Paris curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketLyon curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any full calendar day between the day of market creation and the specified date, inclusive (Marseille time), passes without any ban on public gatherings in effect in any part of the City of Marseille, France.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A calendar day passes without any ban on public gatherings in effect if, at no point between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM Marseille time on that day, a ban on public gatherings is in effect in any part of the City of Marseille.
- The City of Marseille refers to the municipality (commune) of Marseille, within its official municipal boundaries.
- A ban on public gatherings refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits gatherings or demonstrations in public spaces in the City of Marseille, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours.
- A ban of any scope will count, whether citywide or limited to specific arrondissements, districts, or neighborhoods of the City of Marseille, and must be officially declared by the City of Marseille, the Bouches-du-Rhône Police Prefecture (Préfecture de police des Bouches-du-Rhône), or a French national authority.