Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 18:30 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 96%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
10.740,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.7% / 3.8%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
7
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet7. Jan. 26, 21:0331. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 96% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? entschieden?
- Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).