KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before January 1, 2028 27%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Before January 1, 2028 27%Marktqualitat
41 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Open Interest
7344,9 €
Mittleres Open InterestSpread
6.8 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
7. Jan. 26, 00:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Lai Ching-te visit the United States?
KalshiLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketLai Ching-te impeached by which date?
PolymarketLai Ching-te visits US by which date?
PolymarketWill Lai Ching-te (of the DPP party in Taiwan) still be alive by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegeln
If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before January 1, 2028
- If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before July 1, 2027
- If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before January 1, 2027
- If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.