PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
5.9 to 6.0 93.4%+94.5ptFührend unter 6 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
5.9 to 6.0 93.4%+94.5ptMarktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4257,2 €
Liquidität
3670,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
3. Okt. 26, 04:07 UTC4. Okt. 26, 18:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 4, 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMajor earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on October 3, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
- Brackets: the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on October 3, 2026.
- An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
- Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.