Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 88%
Prognostiker
41
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
14. Okt. 26, 23:43 UTC31. Okt. 26, 23:43 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will free Gemini app users get access to Gemini 4 Argon by November 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Zvi write a full report on Muse Wonder?
Manifold MarketsNext Gemini Argon released by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves to YES if Zvi writes a post centered around Gemini 4 Argon before the deadline, that focuses on capabilities.
- A post primarily about its safety report DOES NOT COUNT.
- Resolves to NO if Zvi does not write such a post.
- Market will not resolve early to avoid leaking information, except if the post is up and this thus resolves YES.