Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 89.1% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) entschieden?

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) soll am 1. Januar 2100 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

Diesen Markt im Code oder in einem KI-Agenten nutzen

Kostenloses JSON zu diesem Markt, ohne API-Schlüssel:

KI-Agenten: pm_data_event über den MCP-Server von CoinRithm aufrufen:

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.0pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+25.5pt89%

+15 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

5,2 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

312.173,4 €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt96%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt31.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.5pt20.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.1pt17.5%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+1.3pt56.8%
• Gemini+2.0pt32.4%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• America First+52.0pt99.5%
• Working Class / Middle Class+40.0pt99.5%
• Oil / Gas / Gasoline+62.0pt

POLYMARKET

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

• $ANT+45.0pt100%
• $AAI-9.8pt0%
• $ANAI-2.8pt0%

+6 weitere Ergebnisse

• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Best AI this week
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 26, 2026