Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 62% (Stand: 29. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) entschieden?

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) soll am 1. Januar 2100 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

Diesen Markt im Code oder in einem KI-Agenten nutzen

Kostenloses JSON zu diesem Markt, ohne API-Schlüssel:

KI-Agenten: pm_data_event über den MCP-Server von CoinRithm aufrufen:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.6pt99%
• Anthropic-0.8pt1%
• Alibaba0%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

3,7 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

208.910,5 €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+2.0pt24%
• 2028-1.0pt17%
• 2027+0.5pt9%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+9.3pt54.8%
• Claude-9.9pt35%
• ChatGPT+0.4pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.5pt22%
• 2028+5.0pt18%
• 2027+2.5pt9%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt29.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T+4.2pt21.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.0pt20.2%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+9.0pt60.2%
• Anthropic-11.0pt31.6%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.1%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Google market share this week
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?