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Veraltet1. Aug. 26, 16:23 UTC1. März 30, 22:59 UTC
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Will we get AGI before 2030?
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KalshiTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.
- Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can.
- It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
- Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2030
- MOD EDIT (Nov 2, 2025 - @Stralor)
- This market uses In what specific year will we hit AGI? as its baseline.
Offene Märkte
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 231.012 €
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- No meeting before 2027+0.5pt91.2%
- Qatar / UAE+0.3pt2%
- Switzerland-0.3pt2%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 576.844,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 56.902 €
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339+0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354-2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-2.6pt19.6%
POLYMARKETWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- China-1.0pt54.9%
- No meeting by December 31-2.0pt33.3%
- Gulf country+1.4pt3.9%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Bank of Russia decision in September?
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will we get AGI before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 51% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will we get AGI before 2030? entschieden?
- Will we get AGI before 2030? soll am 1. März 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will we get AGI before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.