Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNo peace, no Nobel 80%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
52
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet11. Okt. 25, 17:11 UTC3. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
Peace before 2027.
- There doesn't have to be an explicit causal relationship, just whether the two things happen.
- This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets:
- [markets]Previously:
- @/EvanDaniel/will-trump-win-the-2025-nobel-peace