Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitikSociety & Culture2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 68.2%
Prognostiker
36
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet25. Jan. 25, 23:35 UTC16. Feb. 29, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Transgender US passports with non-birth gender revoked by February 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump finish his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurRegeln
From January 20th, 2025, no new U.S. passports should be issued with an “X” (other/nondisclosed) in the Sex field — whitehouse.gov; CNN; Fox News
- However, it remains an open question what will happen to existing U.S. passports that were issued with an “X” in the Sex field, particularly over the short term.
- This question resolves YES if any existing, unexpired U.S. passport is actually revoked, solely on the basis of its having an “X” in the Sex field, before the deadline(s) given below.
- Generally, if a U.S. passport requires renewal or replacement, and its holder is required to select “M” or “F” in the Sex field as a condition of that renewal or replacement, that will NOT cause this question to resolve.
- However, if any U.S. passport holder is required by the U.S. passport office to renew their passport solely in order to get rid of an “X” in the Sex field, this question resolves YES.
- This question resolves YES if more than 5 unique States contain any international airport, sea port, or border crossing which officially maintains policy to regard passports with an “X” in the Sex field as being invalid.
Offene Märkte
US Politics
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change-12.0pt50%
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt48%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+2.0pt88.1%
- Republican Party-2.0pt11.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 593.366 €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+3.0pt55.9%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt31.4%
- Republicans sweep-1.0pt11.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico55.1%
- Ken Paxton-4.0pt44.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 341.177,8 €
KALSHIWill Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
- Before Jan 1, 2027-28.0pt38.5%
- Before Dec 1, 2026-40.0pt31.3%
- Before Nov 1, 2026-73.0pt20.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Alaska Senate winner?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 68% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term? entschieden?
- Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term? soll am 16. Februar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: From January 20th, 2025, no new U.S. passports should be issued with an “X” (other/nondisclosed) in the Sex field — whitehouse.gov; CNN; Fox News